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Post by brotherm1 on Mar 3, 2020 12:06:19 GMT -5
I believe your 42% are too conservative! Especially with higher Revenue numbers the cost should stay fixed so the ratio should improve I18 II18 III18 IV18 I19 II19 III19 IV19 Afrezza net 3.4 3.8 4.4 5.7 5.0 6.1 6.4 7.8 liane´s table 6.5 8.4 10 11.5 12.2 13.2 13.3 17.2 Anet over table .52 .45 .44 .50 .45 .46 .48 0.45 Morfu: If the levels you suggest were achieved, staying compliant is easily achieved and the third tranche isn’t a layup, but definitively attainable. When I use a less conservative 46% (applied to all retail sales in the 52-week look-back) and add in $1.2 million for Brazil ($700,000 already received and adding $500,000) the math works out as follows:With 23 weeks between now and July 31, 2020, retail sales would need to AVERAGE $1.06 million per week to stay compliant with the MidCap Loan With 31 weeks between now and Sept 25, 2020, retail sales would need to AVERAGE $1.56 million per week to qualify for the third tranche As in any analysis, the assumptions make all the difference. I deleted my garble from last night and simplified it. Using the 46% of Symphony retail sales figures, to average $1.56 M the next 31 weeks, we would need to increase retail reported revenues from the last reported $1.33M by $14,375 each week until we reach $1,775,625 retail reported revenue week 31. Week one, $1,344,375, week two $1,358,750.........week 31 $1,775,625. Week 31 would be 1,028 scrips based upon last week’s reported $1,727 per retail scrip.
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Post by ktim on Mar 3, 2020 17:51:14 GMT -5
Morfu: If the levels you suggest were achieved, staying compliant is easily achieved and the third tranche isn’t a layup, but definitively attainable. When I use a less conservative 46% (applied to all retail sales in the 52-week look-back) and add in $1.2 million for Brazil ($700,000 already received and adding $500,000) the math works out as follows:With 23 weeks between now and July 31, 2020, retail sales would need to AVERAGE $1.06 million per week to stay compliant with the MidCap Loan With 31 weeks between now and Sept 25, 2020, retail sales would need to AVERAGE $1.56 million per week to qualify for the third tranche As in any analysis, the assumptions make all the difference. I deleted my garble from last night and simplified it. Using the 46% of Symphony retail sales figures, to average $1.56 M the next 31 weeks, we would need to increase retail reported revenues from the last reported $1.33M by $14,375 each week until we reach $1,775,625 retail reported revenue week 31. Week one, $1,344,375, week two $1,358,750.........week 31 $1,775,625. Week 31 would be 1,028 scrips based upon last week’s reported $1,727 per retail scrip. If one looks at the increase from Q1 to Q2 and Q3 over the past 2 years, one would not expect us to meet the third tranche requirements.
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