|
Post by compound26 on Jun 27, 2017 12:14:56 GMT -5
I think Sam Finta used to refill monthly, but have recently switched to every 3 month. I think Spiro gets it monthly. Rick also refills monthly. stocktwits.com/rckhrrr Jun. 25 at 1:55 PM rckhrrr @nwrong My Educated Guess is that Many New Scripts are Now being Written for a Minimum of 90 Days to START With! Better Results that Way! 👍 Bullish 1 5 via StockTwits for iOS Jun. 25 at 12:01 PM rckhrrr @nwrong No! I refill every 30 Days with 180 Pack! However You can get it every 90 days & that would Be (3) 180 Packs on one Pick Up! Bullish Thanks:-) Fyi, Rick uses one titration pack (i.e., 6 cartridges a day/two cartridges a meal) each month as he inhales both before and after the meal.
|
|
|
Post by straightly on Jun 27, 2017 13:23:45 GMT -5
Picky: if I read your formula correctly, you sre assuming if one has a refill before, he will, with 100% rate, continue to refill.
I agree that the rate of refill, upon former refills, is higher than refill on new RX, but I don't think it is 100%. Assuming it to be 100% will have the effect of under estimate refill on new RX.
But thanks for the analysis. Sounds like good things are happening, lets hope they do happen fast enough.
|
|
|
Post by InvesterSam on Jun 27, 2017 14:54:13 GMT -5
Picky: if I read your formula correctly, you sre assuming if one has a refill before, he will, with 100% rate, continue to refill. I agree that the rate of refill, upon former refills, is higher than refill on new RX, but I don't think it is 100%. Assuming it to be 100% will have the effect of under estimate refill on new RX. But thanks for the analysis. Sounds like good things are happening, lets hope they do happen fast enough. I agree. When I say 12% retention rate, it could be 20% new refill from NRx and 8% dropout after few refills (20%-8% = 12%) or 30% new refill and 18% dropout (30%-18% = 12%). I guess it is OK either way if you only want to make projection.
|
|
|
Post by traderdennis on Jun 27, 2017 16:09:23 GMT -5
Picky: if I read your formula correctly, you sre assuming if one has a refill before, he will, with 100% rate, continue to refill. I agree that the rate of refill, upon former refills, is higher than refill on new RX, but I don't think it is 100%. Assuming it to be 100% will have the effect of under estimate refill on new RX. But thanks for the analysis. Sounds like good things are happening, lets hope they do happen fast enough. I agree. When I say 12% retention rate, it could be 20% new refill from NRx and 8% dropout after few refills (20%-8% = 12%) or 30% new refill and 18% dropout (30%-18% = 12%). I guess it is OK either way if you only want to make projection. Sam, For retention rate how about changing the formula on the denominator to a moving period of x months when determining retention rate? I would suggest a rolling 7 month sum of NRx for the denominator. Doctors write RX's for 3 / 6 / 12 months at a time, while certainly not perfect, it will allow for NRX to roll off the denominator.
|
|