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Post by nylefty on Sept 4, 2019 20:32:52 GMT -5
What makes you think the 2021 $4s would be a loss? It is true that the share price does not have to hit $4 for someone to sell the options early and make a profit, just so long as the share price is moving up faster than the time decay is destroying the option price, However, it is unlikely that the Mannkind SP will hit $4 by the 2021 expiry date (if that is what you were talking about). Of course, it COULD happen, but if it did then that would likely make MNKD one of the top 10 best performing stocks of 2020. To go from $1.18 to $4 in about 16 months would be a phenomenal rate of return. That sort of return would beat the performance of every one of the stocks on this list of the best performers of 2018, for instance: ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/14-best-performing-stocks-2018-100000910.html Those were the 14 best performing stocks in the S&P 500, but there were smaller companies that did much better, percentage wise.
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Post by lifebreath on Sept 4, 2019 20:34:48 GMT -5
What makes you think the 2021 $4s would be a loss? It is true that the share price does not have to hit $4 for someone to sell the options early and make a profit, just so long as the share price is moving up faster than the time decay is destroying the option price, However, it is unlikely that the Mannkind SP will hit $4 by the 2021 expiry date (if that is what you were talking about). Of course, it COULD happen, but if it did then that would likely make MNKD one of the top 10 best performing stocks of 2020. To go from $1.18 to $4 in about 16 months would be a phenomenal rate of return. That sort of return would beat the performance of every one of the stocks on this list of the best performers of 2018, for instance: ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/14-best-performing-stocks-2018-100000910.htmlAn incomplete list to say the least, extremely misleading it doesn’t include the price fluctuations between those dates. Tandem (tndm) price Jan 2. $2.52 price on Nov. 9 $37.19 Where do they rank tndm on your list if best performers ?
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Post by mnkdfann on Sept 4, 2019 20:40:20 GMT -5
It is true that the share price does not have to hit $4 for someone to sell the options early and make a profit, just so long as the share price is moving up faster than the time decay is destroying the option price, However, it is unlikely that the Mannkind SP will hit $4 by the 2021 expiry date (if that is what you were talking about). Of course, it COULD happen, but if it did then that would likely make MNKD one of the top 10 best performing stocks of 2020. To go from $1.18 to $4 in about 16 months would be a phenomenal rate of return. That sort of return would beat the performance of every one of the stocks on this list of the best performers of 2018, for instance: ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/14-best-performing-stocks-2018-100000910.htmlAn incomplete list to say the least, extremely misleading it doesn’t include the price fluctuations between those dates. Tandem (tndm) price Jan 2. $2.52 price on Nov. 9 $37.19 Where do they rank on your list if best performers ? It was not 'my' list, but whatever. Yes, you are correct, the sort of return I was describing (from $1.18 to $4 in about 16 months) is so run of the mill and ordinary that it barely warrants comment. So I was mistaken. Betting everything on seeing $4 by January 2021 is a good investment. Go for it.
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Post by pat on Sept 5, 2019 5:57:02 GMT -5
Mnkdfan
Long
Term
Capital.
Read about it.
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Post by mnkdfann on Sept 5, 2019 8:32:46 GMT -5
Mnkdfan Long Term Capital. Read about it. Not at all sure what point you are making. In any case, I'm already well familiar with LTCM. Its strategy of betting on outliers went bust, and even while successful it never had annual returns as good as what some above are expecting for Mannkind over the next year. It took LTCM approx. 4 years to turn 1180 into 4000 yet people expect MNKD to go from 1.18 to 4 in a little over a year? As I said near the start of my posts on this topic, it COULD happen. But personally I would not expect it to happen that quickly.
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Post by ktim on Sept 5, 2019 11:47:06 GMT -5
What makes you think the 2021 $4s would be a loss? It is true that the share price does not have to hit $4 for someone to sell the options early and make a profit, just so long as the share price is moving up faster than the time decay is destroying the option price, However, it is unlikely that the Mannkind SP will hit $4 by the 2021 expiry date (if that is what you were talking about). Of course, it COULD happen, but if it did then that would likely make MNKD one of the top 10 best performing stocks of 2020. To go from $1.18 to $4 in about 16 months would be a phenomenal rate of return. That sort of return would beat the performance of every one of the stocks on this list of the best performers of 2018, for instance: ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/14-best-performing-stocks-2018-100000910.htmlDon't you know it's going to $40 by then and $300 a few months later? I read it on the interweb so it must be true
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Post by rockstarrick on Sept 5, 2019 12:19:55 GMT -5
What makes you think the 2021 $4s would be a loss? It is true that the share price does not have to hit $4 for someone to sell the options early and make a profit, just so long as the share price is moving up faster than the time decay is destroying the option price, However, it is unlikely that the Mannkind SP will hit $4 by the 2021 expiry date (if that is what you were talking about). Of course, it COULD happen, but if it did then that would likely make MNKD one of the top 10 best performing stocks of 2020. To go from $1.18 to $4 in about 16 months would be a phenomenal rate of return. That sort of return would beat the performance of every one of the stocks on this list of the best performers of 2018, for instance: ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/14-best-performing-stocks-2018-100000910.htmlI watched mnkd go from around $3.50/Share to over $8 on positive p3 trials in 2013. Not even suggesting it WILL happen, but it definitely has, so it can again. Don’t watch as much as I used to, Hope I don’t miss it if it does. Good Luck Everybody
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Post by mytakeonit on Sept 5, 2019 12:38:40 GMT -5
And yes, lightning can and does strike twice. Rarely do we get lightning strikes to the ground in Hawaii. BUT this poor tree, close to where I use to live, got hit and lost a limb. Two months later, it got hit again. Then the owner's cut it down. Could that count as a third strike? But, that's mytakeonit
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Post by letitride on Sept 5, 2019 15:59:04 GMT -5
And yes, lightning can and does strike twice. Rarely do we get lightning strikes to the ground in Hawaii. BUT this poor tree, close to where I use to live, got hit and lost a limb. Two months later, it got hit again. Then the owner's cut it down. Could that count as a third strike? But, that's mytakeonit Well it was defiantly outta there! And if Mannkind hits 300 im outta here to.
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Post by mike0475 on Sept 5, 2019 16:31:41 GMT -5
I never said it would go to 4.. I’m talking about the potential multiplier of 100 contracts moving to even 1.5, 2-3 and taking that profit
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Post by cretin11 on Sept 5, 2019 16:58:52 GMT -5
Mike, but earlier you said:
"Pat
Clear as in 1-4K to make 100k potential?"
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Post by mike0475 on Sept 5, 2019 17:03:47 GMT -5
Potential
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Post by cretin11 on Sept 5, 2019 21:56:51 GMT -5
I see. But if your plan is to take the profits if share price goes to 1.5 or 2 or 3, then that profit is a couple of thousand dollars, nowhere near 100K. Seems like the strike price Sports suggested might be better for your strategy, that’s all I’m saying.
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Post by sportsrancho on Sept 12, 2019 14:53:11 GMT -5
ST..otcbbking
$MNKD considerable call option activity in the JAN 2020 $2’s and $1.50’s. Once we start approaching $2.00 I believe we will see the JAN 2020 $3, $4, and even $5’s come alive. Bullish
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Post by radgray68 on Sept 12, 2019 15:33:40 GMT -5
ST..otcbbking $MNKD considerable call option activity in the JAN 2020 $2’s and $1.50’s. Once we start approaching $2.00 I believe we will see the JAN 2020 $3, $4, and even $5’s come alive. Bullish I know I can't believe it!!! FINALLY! I see some movement in my old $2 2020 calls! WAHOO! I wrote them off like a year ago. Now the dilemma, do I sell soon for some of my money back? OR....and that's a big OR, do I wait for full expiration in January because the warrants will have been settled? It was already lost to me so....I'm leaning towards let it ride. Heck, maybe I can sell half to cover the purchase of the other half. Are there any catalysts between now and January that could spike us to friggin $6 like the UTHR announcement? I'm sure there are more than a few of you guys facing the same dilemma. High quality problems to have, though, I guess. GLTA
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