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Post by pat on Sept 2, 2019 9:10:23 GMT -5
You’re really talking about pennies?
This is a binary event.
You either lose the premium or make many, many multiples of it.
Something this clear comes along very rarely.
Read ‘Black Swan’ by Taleb.
Personally, I’ve leveraged up.
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Post by mike0475 on Sept 2, 2019 14:47:43 GMT -5
You’re really talking about pennies? This is a binary event. You either lose the premium or make many, many multiples of it. Something this clear comes along very rarely. Read ‘Black Swan’ by Taleb. Personally, I’ve leveraged up. Pat Clear as in 1-4K to make 100k potential?
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Post by cretin11 on Sept 3, 2019 0:03:14 GMT -5
You’re really talking about pennies? This is a binary event. You either lose the premium or make many, many multiples of it. Something this clear comes along very rarely. Read ‘Black Swan’ by Taleb. Personally, I’ve leveraged up. MNKD’s chart for the past couple of years demonstrates that’s not necessarily true. Our share price can linger in a tight range for long periods of time. So the difference between a strike price of $4 and $1.50 can make a big difference in the result of the trade. Not as binary as most of us want to believe.
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Post by pat on Sept 3, 2019 5:59:51 GMT -5
Models calibrated to past performance ALWAYS turn out well.
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Post by cretin11 on Sept 3, 2019 14:28:49 GMT -5
Models calibrated to past performance ALWAYS turn out well. They certainly haven't for MNKD. We remember the share price leading up to AdCom and then approval. Based on that past performance, we had reason to expect great things going forward. Past performance sure wasn't indicative in that example.
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Post by mnkdfann on Sept 3, 2019 16:39:02 GMT -5
Models calibrated to past performance ALWAYS turn out well. They certainly haven't for MNKD. We remember the share price leading up to AdCom and then approval. Based on that past performance, we had reason to expect great things going forward. Past performance sure wasn't indicative in that example. Poe's Law strikes again?
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Post by cretin11 on Sept 3, 2019 17:35:14 GMT -5
LOL, i knew it was a sarcastic comment, but i just chose to meet it with a "Captain Obvious" reply...
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Post by pat on Sept 4, 2019 9:11:30 GMT -5
Why is the price up today?
Based upon my sophisticated financial forecasting we should continue to move lower for the foreseeable future, ultimately delisting and discontinuing operations.
This is especially true given that management is so inept and greedy.
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Post by ktim on Sept 4, 2019 10:07:35 GMT -5
Why is the price up today? Based upon my sophisticated financial forecasting we should continue to move lower for the foreseeable future, ultimately delisting and discontinuing operations. This is especially true given that management is so inept and greedy. Though the market is up strongly overall today, the IBB is down today, so this could be some buying other than being pushed around by indexes. Can we break out of our range to the upside and get movement from momentum traders? Would be nice if we could put a bit more distance from the $1 mark. Jokes aside, even the prospect of having to go through the formality of a delisting notice is angst inducing given history. Each day like this does help build confidence.
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Post by brotherm1 on Sept 4, 2019 10:34:24 GMT -5
Why is the price up today? Based upon my sophisticated financial forecasting we should continue to move lower for the foreseeable future, ultimately delisting and discontinuing operations. This is especially true given that management is so inept and greedy. Just this August 13 you posted “ I am increasingly confident that my annualized return will far exceed what it would have been had I left it in a SPYder” Read more: mnkd.proboards.com/user/3269/recent#ixzz5yZQiheeS
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Post by ktim on Sept 4, 2019 13:06:40 GMT -5
Why is the price up today? Based upon my sophisticated financial forecasting we should continue to move lower for the foreseeable future, ultimately delisting and discontinuing operations. This is especially true given that management is so inept and greedy. You jinxed us with your joke
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Post by pat on Sept 4, 2019 17:03:05 GMT -5
Brother I’m being completely sarcastic. Sorry if it didn’t come through.
I am very bullish on this stock. Been in it from almost the start. Increasingly confident we’re just about there.
But admittedly bored and having some fun.
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Post by mike0475 on Sept 4, 2019 19:05:46 GMT -5
No one wants to drop 1700-2000 on 100 contracts - 4dollar 2021Jan?
2000 shares now vs 2k loss
Potential 6 digits or couple k profit?
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Post by ryster505 on Sept 4, 2019 19:15:49 GMT -5
What makes you think the 2021 $4s would be a loss?
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Post by mnkdfann on Sept 4, 2019 19:32:29 GMT -5
What makes you think the 2021 $4s would be a loss? It is true that the share price does not have to hit $4 for someone to sell the options early and make a profit, just so long as the share price is moving up faster than the time decay is destroying the option price, However, it is unlikely that the Mannkind SP will hit $4 by the 2021 expiry date (if that is what you were talking about). Of course, it COULD happen, but if it did then that would likely make MNKD one of the top 10 best performing stocks of 2020. To go from $1.18 to $4 in about 16 months would be a phenomenal rate of return. That sort of return would beat the performance of every one of the stocks on this list of the best performers of 2018, for instance: ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/14-best-performing-stocks-2018-100000910.html
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