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Post by mounts on May 25, 2022 12:57:55 GMT -5
Many are disappointed that MNKD got such a small and short-lived spike following the FDA approval. Some are wondering about the unfathomable:
How is it possible that PPS is now lower than what it was in October following the CRL? Adding to the confusion is that UTHR did get a meaningful and sustained bump in the PPS. What's going on?
To get answers I reached out to a proven technical analysis expert to understand whats happening.
The insight he shared with me:
In October the PPS was above the MNKD 200 Day Moving Average in the days and weeks preceding the CRL. It took a brief dip below the 200 Day MA immediately following the CRL but recovered quickly. However, the PPS leading up to the FDA approval was below the MNKD 200 Day Moving Average. It requires lots of fire power to break through a 200 Day MA. The PPS did briefly breach the 200 Day MA on the day of the FDA approval. Since then, however, the PPS is seeing resistance breaking through the 200 Day MA, which is clearly and consistently visible on the hourly and four hour charts how the candlesticks almost perfectly align below the 200 Day MA.
The bulls need to get the PPS to flip the 200 Day MA into support instead of resistance, to allow it to benefit from the FDA approval.
The good news is that all indicators are signaling upward momentum for MNKD. Hopefully this momentum will continue and will achieve breaching the 200 Day MA in a sustained way. Until then, there is sufficient money in the market driven by technical analysis which will bet against anything trading below the 200 Day MA.
Once the 200 Day MA flips to support, MNKD will still need to breach $6.87 in a sustained way to wrestle free from the downward selling pressure threatening falling below the 200 Day MA again. Following that, when PPS will hold over $11.17, PPS will take off and soar.
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Post by sportsrancho on May 25, 2022 13:24:48 GMT -5
Agree……I have tried unsuccessfully so far to get people to understand how important the 200 day moving average actually is. Obviously not just in this case. When NVAX went through the 200 day at 180… I was begging people to get out🤷🏼♀️
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Post by dh4mizzou on May 25, 2022 13:38:56 GMT -5
mounts,
If I see correctly the 200 DMA is right around $ 4.08. Why would we have to get to $ 6.87 to see a solid move up?
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Post by mounts on May 25, 2022 13:49:40 GMT -5
mounts, If I see correctly the 200 DMA is right around $ 4.08. Why would we have to get to $ 6.87 to see a solid move up?
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Post by peppy on May 25, 2022 13:57:12 GMT -5
The question why above $6.87 for a solid move.
Between the $4.08, and $6.53 is still chop, unless it moves fast, then fast chop. In the sense that price has been here over the last six years.
A break of the six year highs, a signal price is going to move up beyond it. With any luck, price screams I am free and screams up to the next resistance, $7.50.
The rest of the story, the cup. The handle. A possible break with a measured move to $12.00.
Those are the reasons why, charting wise.
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Post by mounts on May 25, 2022 14:38:55 GMT -5
Remarkably, in the hour since my post, the 1 hour candle closed perfectly above the 200 Day MA. The purple line ($4.08) is the current moving average.
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Post by akemp3000 on May 25, 2022 14:41:18 GMT -5
Good posts. Now a question. Every time calls are forthcoming someone posts that the pps will be held back until that day. I don't doubt this at all as this manipulation happens consistently. However, at some point in the not too distant future, say when revenues show an impressive increase, this can't continue IMO. There also remains a sizeable short interest and discussion about the importance of the 200-day moving average. Mannkind is not going to remain a penny stock under $5 much longer. Shorts are not going to be able to ride this one through without very high risk and even the remote possibility of a squeeze. They are going to have to exit sooner rather than later. Can someone share thoughts on what might happen to the forthcoming calls and other variables during this likely upcoming transition period.
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Post by akemp3000 on May 25, 2022 14:46:33 GMT -5
One further thought is that all it would take to destroy the importance of historical data is one interested and wealthy individual such as what happened with Game Stop and even Twitter. It's possible with all of Al Mann's connections over time that interested eyes have been following this. One person or one company could change everything overnight.
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Post by stockwhisperer on May 25, 2022 17:24:34 GMT -5
Thank you - such interesting information and the last post mentioning 1 person stepping in could make the difference over night, is what sweet dreams are made of.
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