Line Capacity - Line 1, 2 & 3

[otherottawaguy]

Looking for some feedback here.

Gomnkd pointed out some line capacity numbers the other day and I have even seen references to numbers from Matt that support his production levels.

To date, I have been using the old numbers based upon max plant capacity given by Dr Mann. As he and others in the more distant past that Danbury was capable of supporting 2 Million annual users, via the physical foot print capable of holding 12 production lines,

The math on this one: 2,000,000 / 12 = 166,666 annual script per line.

Using this number  of 166k and assuming 3 dosages per day * 364 days: 166666*3*364 = 182,000,000 Cartridges per year.

In an interim interview, Matt stated that the new machines were capable of about 10% more output that Line 1 or about 200M cartridges annually.

For a net current capacity of 580M cartridges.

My problem with this number, arises in that in very recent interview (purported interview), Matt has now said that the number possible is 110M cartridges for Line 1 and about 120M for line 2. (The lower numbers are what Gomnkd was suggesting and I have seen other references to it on YMB).

This really screws up calcs for the Demand vs Capacity curves so I would like to get a reference to a firm source that tells us the true capacity of a Line (old and newer).

When working with these possibly lower numbers and increased usages that are being reported, it will not take as long for capacity to exceed demand.

Thanks,

OOG

[Deleted]

OOG,

100-120M have been the recent numbers floated out by Matt. As you mentioned, 2million patients has also been floated out there by Al. Why not just use 350Mil as a good estimate and run with it til proven otherwise? I think part of the discrepancy is in the amount of downtime that is factored in. For what its worth, we've also been told the design rate is 400 cartridges per minute. Using that number, in order to arrive at 120 mil cartridges, downtime would exceed 10 hours per day (or perhaps a shift removed).

[benh]

On my calcs it doesn't make a big difference on over-capacity dates reached. About 1 week for line 2 and 3 weeks for line 3. No difference for line 1.