|
|
Post by patten1962 on Feb 27, 2016 11:50:58 GMT -5
Just wondering.
|
|
|
|
Post by bthomas55ep on Feb 27, 2016 13:24:25 GMT -5
Patten, I guess that keeps changing for me and will continue to change as things evolve based on what happens. I've decided that I'd like to see what kind of announcements will be made on the other side of April 4, but before June 30 (and we get into the dreaded cash will only last into late this year prediction). With only $5 Million coming due in 2016, I kind of think they will find some way of extending the runway by hook or by crook before doing a BK filing in 2016. Depending on the scale of those announcements, it could clear the way and encourage me to reassess my thinking and avoid putting a target price on my exit. That said, I have literally been buying shares by the thousands from .80 to $1.01 and have the largest position I've ever owned. My overall basis is now down to $1.31. If we don't see some bonafide momentum by June 30, my plan would be to punch out and lick my wounds even if the price is $.50 or less. My preference would be to hold until we see Gilead or Amgen (ha ha!). I will have to say that with all the new communication from Matt and the subtle comments (e.g. old potential partners called within 2 days), I am feeling a bit optimistic these days. |
|
|
|
Post by patten1962 on Feb 27, 2016 15:39:49 GMT -5
Patten, I guess that keeps changing for me and will continue to change as things evolve based on what happens. I've decided that I'd like to see what kind of announcements will be made on the other side of April 4, but before June 30 (and we get into the dreaded cash will only last into late this year prediction). With only $5 Million coming due in 2016, I kind of think they will find some way of extending the runway by hook or by crook before doing a BK filing in 2016. Depending on the scale of those announcements, it could clear the way and encourage me to reassess my thinking and avoid putting a target price on my exit. That said, I have literally been buying shares by the thousands from .80 to $1.01 and have the largest position I've ever owned. My overall basis is now down to $1.31. If we don't see some bonafide momentum by June 30, my plan would be to punch out and lick my wounds even if the price is $.50 or less. My preference would be to hold until we see Gilead or Amgen (ha ha!). I will have to say that with all the new communication from Matt and the subtle comments (e.g. old potential partners called within 2 days), I am feeling a bit optimistic these days. Ty. I will sell 25% at $5. Then exercise some options along the way. If we ever hit $5. Lol |
|
|
|
Post by stevil on Feb 27, 2016 15:50:51 GMT -5
This appears to be a very difficult question to answer and I would suspect many here would share my viewpoint (for once).
The only way I sell at $5, and even then it would be hard to do, is if the fundamentals don't match the SP. Meaning, only rumor and speculation is driving the price.
However, if there is a fundamental reason- good financials, increasing profits, lucrative partnerships, etc, it would be madness to sell at $5. This stock has already been priced at multiples of that at one time or another.
This stock is too boom/bust for me and I've already made my bed in the depths. Come hell or high water, I'm going to ride out what I've already got in this and will only willingly sell if it appears we've clearly reached a plateau, either due to poor management, or an unwilling market.
|
|
|
|
Post by bradleysbest on Feb 27, 2016 16:40:31 GMT -5
$20 for me unless what Stevil said is happening. Then I sell some & hold some.
|
|
|
|
Post by dreamboatcruise on Feb 27, 2016 17:22:06 GMT -5
Are all of the numbers people have thrown out going to be adjusted down if a secondary brings significant dilution?
|
|
|
|
Post by patten1962 on Feb 27, 2016 18:19:13 GMT -5
Are all of the numbers people have thrown out going to be adjusted down if a secondary brings significant dilution? That is up to each individual investor. I keep asking myself when I get out of this. Play it over and over in my head. A buyout is the easiest scenario to handle! |
|
|
|
Post by stevil on Feb 27, 2016 18:40:39 GMT -5
easiest, but only better than BK. I don't want either BK or a buyout right now. If a buyout comes, we want to show prospective buyers a whole hell of a lot more value than we're showing right now.
|
|
|
|
Post by afrizzle on Feb 27, 2016 19:31:19 GMT -5
I'm still looking for a 10 banger or zero. This used to mean $55 but I averaged down during the current route
|
|
|
|
Post by sportsrancho on Feb 28, 2016 8:44:18 GMT -5
easiest, but only better than BK. I don't want either BK or a buyout right now. If a buyout comes, we want to show prospective buyers a whole hell of a lot more value than we're showing right now. Right, why take from 3 to 5 now, when if things go well we could get from 18 to 40pps later in the next year or so. I'll just hold. My plan from the start:-) |
|
|
|
Post by patten1962 on Feb 28, 2016 9:01:10 GMT -5
easiest, but only better than BK. I don't want either BK or a buyout right now. If a buyout comes, we want to show prospective buyers a whole hell of a lot more value than we're showing right now. Right, why take from 3 to 5 now, when if things go well we could get from 18 to 40pps later in the next year or so. I'll just hold. My plan from the start:-) Not very often an investor has a chance to purchase a stock that has a legitimate to make that person very wealthy beyond belief! If this stock gets even over $5 I will do very well. $40 I retire! Sky is the limit! I just keep buying !  |
|
|
|
Post by LosingMyBullishness on Feb 28, 2016 9:33:56 GMT -5
Right now I am happy with the stock price. Sure I am near a margin call but I get used to its sound :-) The stock price is determined by future earnings. Since Jan the future look brighter every week. Matt is delivering as promised.
We tend to dissect every news quickly here at this board and little time is reserved to be happy of what has been achieved without SNY Top management support.
So at what price? If there is some huge news that is creating a short squeeze I will add more in the beginning hoping to jump early on the bus. If the price goes up slowly but steadily I will sell some around $5 to improve the margin (if the other stock in my portfolio is still down).
If the stock goes down, my exit price is around zero, I guess.
|
|
|
|
Post by peppy on Feb 28, 2016 9:37:10 GMT -5
the above posts are pointing out,
"Overhead Resistance"
|
|
|
|
Post by LosingMyBullishness on Feb 28, 2016 14:40:17 GMT -5
the above posts are pointing out, "Overhead Resistance" sure, some. But doesn't it bother you that despite the vivid T1 network the weekly scripts are so terribly low? I had the expectation that they would a) trust the early adopter within the T1 community 2) have a lot to gain in quality of life and are more flexible than the average T2. The sales numbers are way lower than what I initially expected with a low coverage. So I had to adjust my price target. What is yours? |
|
|
|
Post by dreamboatcruise on Feb 28, 2016 16:22:15 GMT -5
I would be happy to recover my basis for a majority of my shares, which is now around $4.25. I might keep some hoping to see double digits years from now. There likely will be more dilution along the way so people with targets need to realize market caps don't arbitrarily expand to compensate for dilution. When this stock first went public I heard people talking about $100 target... but of course the same market cap now would mean far lower share price because of the dilution that has already occurred. And that $100 was very optimistic and included an oncology line that terminated long ago.
|
|
