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Post by inittowinit on Mar 8, 2016 7:56:50 GMT -5
I realize it's a long shot, however, if we had the right catalyst and there was a squeeze how will you play it?
I appreciate and respect many here (sportsrancho, lakers, harryx, baba, mholdem, robsacher, liane, suebee, compound bioexec and joypotsandpans. I know I'm forgetting many of you, please forgive me! I've recently had a tumor removed from my brain (secondary) and still have a ways to go. Obviously, it's has changed the way I look at everything! I appreciate any guidance and your time).
I'm averaged down to $4.35. A newbie, I got in on FDA approval and have not sold ONE of my shares. I have always had an exit strategy but wonder if a true squeeze would work smarter in my favor to see how things run by market close or stick to my guns?
Thoughts? No FUD please. I've had enough of that philosophy....I've had enough of WS, but FIRMLY believe in Mr. Mann's vision and the SCIENCE behind it. GLTAL!
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Post by babaoriley on Mar 8, 2016 10:13:14 GMT -5
Wow, please beat the situation leading to the tumor and you'll be the biggest of winners!
Hard to imagine a short squeeze, after so much dirty water under the bridge. But, an announcement of a huge sale or sales of Afrezza to foreign interests might do the trick, or a technosphere deal with a bunch of upfront money (a buy out would likely not cause a squeeze, as the price likely would be pegged). But, putting the fantasy of the event or events aside, a short squeeze on this stock would be spectacular, given the massive (understated!) short interest. I would consider selling a portion (from a third to two-thirds) of my position and limit the losses, and I would most likely do it the first day (or maybe two) that a squeeze occurs (remember that any squeeze will be quickly followed up with AF and friends slander). The nature of the cause for the squeeze would guide you in determining how much to sell. I could see the stock tripling from the then current price based on a squeeze-inducing event (I'm sure some here think it will go up tenfold, but let's reflect on the last two or three years - LOL).
I think a buyout is far more likely than a short squeeze. Now, if a buyout announcement were to result in a competing offer, then there would be a short squeeze attendant to the buyout.
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Post by kbrion77 on Mar 8, 2016 10:44:08 GMT -5
Shorts are showing who's boss today. Offshore drillers who have seen a big rally the last few trading days are getting slammed back to reality.
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Post by BlueCat on Mar 8, 2016 10:51:34 GMT -5
Wow, please beat the situation leading to the tumor and you'll be the biggest of winners! Hard to imagine a short squeeze, after so much dirty water under the bridge. But, an announcement of a huge sale or sales of Afrezza to foreign interests might do the trick, or a technosphere deal with a bunch of upfront money (a buy out would likely not cause a squeeze, as the price likely would be pegged). But, putting the fantasy of the event or events aside, a short squeeze on this stock would be spectacular, given the massive (understated!) short interest. I would consider selling a portion (from a third to two-thirds) of my position and limit the losses, and I would most likely do it the first day (or maybe two) that a squeeze occurs (remember that any squeeze will be quickly followed up with AF and friends slander). The nature of the cause for the squeeze would guide you in determining how much to sell. I could see the stock tripling from the then current price based on a squeeze-inducing event (I'm sure some here think it will go up tenfold, but let's reflect on the last two or three years - LOL). I think a buyout is far more likely than a short squeeze. Now, if a buyout announcement were to result in a competing offer, then there would be a short squeeze attendant to the buyout. Regarding the potential of a squeeze, we often think of all those shorts trying to exit. To consider: - some shorts may be in since a much higher price- so at 3x (<$4) they may still be so far in the money that they don't bother trying to exit - thus - not much squeeze - when price goes up, longs trapped will be looking to exit (e.g this discussion) - feeding the shorts that do start to exit Seems to me the catalyst would have to be major enough to force the position up high enough, fast enough, with enough sustainability, to spook to shorts into covering, and bolster the longs into holding. |
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Post by dreamboatcruise on Mar 8, 2016 11:46:12 GMT -5
I'm at about the same basis as you know.
I'd certainly lighten my position considerably if it gets to break even. So if it were heading up near break even, and I noticed that intraday, I'd likely monitor closely and sell up to half my position through a trailing stop order to try to catch near a peak on that day.
I'm a believer in Afrezza but through averaging down, I have too much invested in MNKD compared to my age and amount of savings.
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Post by miracle331 on Mar 8, 2016 11:54:10 GMT -5
I'm at about the same basis as you know. I'd certainly lighten my position considerably if it gets to break even. So if it were heading up near break even, and I noticed that intraday, I'd likely monitor closely and sell up to half my position through a trailing stop order to try to catch near a peak on that day. I'm a believer in Afrezza but through averaging down, I have too much invested in MNKD compared to my age and amount of savings. I'm in the same BOAT as you |
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Post by Deleted on Mar 8, 2016 11:56:12 GMT -5
Shorts are showing who's boss today. Offshore drillers who have seen a big rally the last few trading days are getting slammed back to reality. Yea the whole bull oil run the past couple of days has made no sense especially for the drillers. That are at a loss unless oil in the 50's I thought. GSCO really hammered commodities today Shorted RIG, looking to get back into gold |
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Post by sportsrancho on Mar 8, 2016 13:03:46 GMT -5
initt, Good luck with your recovery!
I like the trailing stop idea. And I do use them a lot with other stocks. But MNKD, I'm just holding, because I'm convinced the company's for sale. Not soon, maybe next year. So I don't want to take any off the table. Not now, after all we've been through! A massive squeeze like with DNDN, that would be different. I just don't see it happening. But if it did, I'd be out at 40pps:-))) GL!
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Post by bradleysbest on Mar 8, 2016 13:50:28 GMT -5
$40..... I like your thinking Rancho!
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Post by peppy on Mar 8, 2016 15:54:18 GMT -5
I realize it's a long shot, however, if we had the right catalyst and there was a squeeze how will you play it? I appreciate and respect many here (sportsrancho, lakers, harryx, baba, mholdem, robsacher, liane, suebee, compound bioexec and joypotsandpans. I know I'm forgetting many of you, please forgive me! I've recently had a tumor removed from my brain (secondary) and still have a ways to go. Obviously, it's has changed the way I look at everything! I appreciate any guidance and your time). I'm averaged down to $4.35. A newbie, I got in on FDA approval and have not sold ONE of my shares. I have always had an exit strategy but wonder if a true squeeze would work smarter in my favor to see how things run by market close or stick to my guns? Thoughts? No FUD please. I've had enough of that philosophy....I've had enough of WS, but FIRMLY believe in Mr. Mann's vision and the SCIENCE behind it. GLTAL! Pricewise, I am stuck like everyone else. I will wait to hear what is going on after April 5th. Earning report in one week, sanofi gone in 4 weeks. Quite a bit seems to be going on. Advertisements for marketing and in house legal. Receptor life sciences. Moneywise, I will be all ears. Mannkind patents are so interesting.
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Post by suebeeee1 on Mar 8, 2016 15:59:51 GMT -5
inittowinit I hope this board is keeping you suffiently amused during your recovery! I'm not selling. Still think we are going to hit $27 by year end, probably due to a sale of Afrezza and/or worldwide partnerships.
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Post by mindovermatter on Mar 8, 2016 16:10:01 GMT -5
inittowinit I hope this board is keeping you suffiently amused during your recovery! I'm not selling. Still think we are going to hit $27 by year end, probably due to a sale of Afrezza and/or worldwide partnerships. $27 pps gives a ~11.5 BILLION market cap to Mannkind. What makes you believe that it will get that high? |
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Post by kbrion77 on Mar 8, 2016 16:13:11 GMT -5
inittowinit I hope this board is keeping you suffiently amused during your recovery! I'm not selling. Still think we are going to hit $27 by year end, probably due to a sale of Afrezza and/or worldwide partnerships. Wowwwwwwwww. And I was hoping for $4! |
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Post by mindovermatter on Mar 8, 2016 16:30:27 GMT -5
inittowinit I hope this board is keeping you suffiently amused during your recovery! I'm not selling. Still think we are going to hit $27 by year end, probably due to a sale of Afrezza and/or worldwide partnerships. Wowwwwwwwww. And I was hoping for $4! $27 is wishful thinking. $26 is more on target. |
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Post by nylefty on Mar 8, 2016 17:43:47 GMT -5
Wowwwwwwwww. And I was hoping for $4! $27 is wishful thinking. $26 is more on target. I'm a little more pessimistic. $24 by the end of the year. |
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