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Post by orlon on Jan 10, 2017 11:18:14 GMT -5
In light of poor sales, does anyone have a reliable estimate of the daily production of Afrezza as the Danbury plant?
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Production
Jan 10, 2017 11:51:56 GMT -5
via mobile
Post by uvula on Jan 10, 2017 11:51:56 GMT -5
The answer to your question is ... Yes.
Many people have reliable estimates and several people know the actual factual numbers. All of these people work for mnkd. None of them can or will comment here.
Why do you ask?
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Post by orlon on Jan 10, 2017 13:57:55 GMT -5
It would seem to me that if production is steady and x amount is produced but not shipped, inventory is increased. At some point in time that inventory is going to be a problem...I'm not sure of the shelf life of Afrezza. On the other hand, if some event such as black box label is removed, large orders are received from abroad and inventories are reduced, or a vigorous advertising campaign in the US results in a higher demand resulting in reduced inventories and increased production. However, with such low numbers of new and refill scripts todat and a high inventory, production will eventually have to slow or stop, the company will have no choice but declare bankruptcy.
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Post by LosingMyBullishness on Jan 10, 2017 14:26:39 GMT -5
It would seem to me that if production is steady and x amount is produced but not shipped, inventory is increased. At some point in time that inventory is going to be a problem...I'm not sure of the shelf life of Afrezza. On the other hand, if some event such as black box label is removed, large orders are received from abroad and inventories are reduced, or a vigorous advertising campaign in the US results in a higher demand resulting in reduced inventories and increased production. However, with such low numbers of new and refill scripts todat and a high inventory, production will eventually have to slow or stop, the company will have no choice but declare bankruptcy. Batch processes are easy to adapt to market demand. You run only one of several lines and order less feedstock. Main costs are people: you reduce shift from 3 to 1, you only work on workdays with no overtime. You produce only to fill up sales channels, so your inventory is low. They should have a good forecast by now what to expect. |
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Post by orlon on Jan 10, 2017 14:28:39 GMT -5
Message already posted...sorry for the repeat.
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Post by sophie on Jan 10, 2017 14:36:45 GMT -5
It would seem to me that if production is steady and x amount is produced but not shipped, inventory is increased. At some point in time that inventory is going to be a problem...I'm not sure of the shelf life of Afrezza. On the other hand, if some event such as black box label is removed, large orders are received from abroad and inventories are reduced, or a vigorous advertising campaign in the US results in a higher demand resulting in reduced inventories and increased production. However, with such low numbers of new and refill scripts todat and a high inventory, production will eventually have to slow or stop, the company will have no choice but declare bankruptcy. Batch processes are easy to adapt to market demand. You run only one of several lines and order less feedstock. Main costs are people: you reduce shift from 3 to 1, you only work on workdays with no overtime. You produce only to fill up sales channels, so your inventory is low. They should have a good forecast by now what to expect. Wonder if these job openings would ever get publicly posted. I think these would be far more telling than sales reps positions. |
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