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Post by biotec on Jul 13, 2015 18:22:04 GMT -5
I thought this might be a great topic seeing we all believe in the near future PPS of MNKD should rise. Most of us have been in this for a long time (me 8 yrs) and many longer then that. So we are at the end of the beginning per say, We are selling Afrezza !!! So who sell's at $10? Who's holding? Who here can say if it gets to $12 are you going to sell any profits? Who can say if at $12 your in the red? Just for fun.
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Post by dreamboatcruise on Jul 13, 2015 18:36:27 GMT -5
My basis is $5.11 now, so I wouldn't consider it until we double that. Then it would depend on the situation on the ground as to whether and how much I would sell. I suspect I might sell about 1/3 somewhere in the $12 - $15 range.
I've got about half my position in synthetic longs using $5 strike, so even before then I might buy in the puts as insurance unless something convinces me we've established a new very solid floor above $5.
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Post by mannmade on Jul 13, 2015 18:39:56 GMT -5
IMHO I would honestly tell you I believe that 10 to 12pps is just the beginning and having endured this since 2008 I will wait for at least 3 years before making any decisions on major profit taking. I will re-evaluate periodically as I realize events may occur that change or materially effect my current long term strategy.
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Post by compound26 on Jul 13, 2015 18:43:18 GMT -5
IMHO I would honestly tell you I believe that 10 to 12pps is just the beginning and having endured this since 2008 I will wait for at least 3 years before making any decisions on major profit taking. I will re-evaluate periodically as I realize events may occur that change or materially effect my current long term strategy. I am in the same camp as mannmade. If Afrezza turns out to be the blockbuster as we all believe it is, I really believe Mannkind's market cap should be many times of its current value (i.e., around $2B). My current plan is to hold my shares until end of 2017. |
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Post by bighaus89 on Jul 13, 2015 18:46:07 GMT -5
I will be looking to take some profits in the $25+ range. I will keep a majority of my position however, because I believe MNKD will go much higher than that.
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Post by BD on Jul 13, 2015 18:47:34 GMT -5
I don't have any specific sell points, but I can say this much: on my ride up with GMCR, I got to enjoy about 3 short squeezes, and each time I sold some on general principles. While I ended up doing well, if I'd just held on that first time or two instead of lightening up to "lock in profits", right now I wouldn't even care what MNKD was going to do because I'd already have been filthy rich.
There's a lesson in there somewhere...
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Post by biotec on Jul 13, 2015 18:51:45 GMT -5
I don't have any specific sell points, but I can say this much: on my ride up with GMCR, I got to enjoy about 3 short squeezes, and each time I sold some on general principles. While I ended up doing well, if I'd just held on that first time or two instead of lightening up to "lock in profits", right now I wouldn't even care what MNKD was going to do because I'd already have been filthy rich. There's a lesson in there somewhere... Yes BD, that's the hardest part when to sell!! Do you hold or sell!! The selling point is harder then the buying many times! |
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Post by biotec on Jul 13, 2015 19:03:41 GMT -5
Im going to sell 2000 shares if we get to $12.00
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Post by babaoriley on Jul 13, 2015 19:11:11 GMT -5
I don't have any specific sell points, but I can say this much: on my ride up with GMCR, I got to enjoy about 3 short squeezes, and each time I sold some on general principles. While I ended up doing well, if I'd just held on that first time or two instead of lightening up to "lock in profits", right now I wouldn't even care what MNKD was going to do because I'd already have been filthy rich. There's a lesson in there somewhere... I just hope the lesson isn't, "never expect to have two multi-bagger blockbusters." Please don't stop me from getting my first! |
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Post by dreamboatcruise on Jul 13, 2015 19:22:01 GMT -5
I don't have any specific sell points, but I can say this much: on my ride up with GMCR, I got to enjoy about 3 short squeezes, and each time I sold some on general principles. While I ended up doing well, if I'd just held on that first time or two instead of lightening up to "lock in profits", right now I wouldn't even care what MNKD was going to do because I'd already have been filthy rich. There's a lesson in there somewhere... That being board moderator has been so fulfilling you now realize that there are more important things in life than making tons of money?  |
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Post by ashiwi on Jul 13, 2015 19:31:02 GMT -5
It's been said before and I'll say it again ...
I'll sell when Al Sells. I think it will inevitably happen. I have no time frame, and I can wait for the company to mature.
Afrezza will ultimately get to blockbuster status along with future Technosphere products. The longer Al waits to sell the higher the price tag.
Throwing a number out would just be a guess, but I think it's going to be a fun ride over the next couple of years.
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Post by ashiwi on Jul 13, 2015 19:36:27 GMT -5
Getting 20+% interest on my loaned shares certainly makes the wait a lot easier.
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Post by patryn on Jul 13, 2015 19:37:17 GMT -5
I like to think of it in terms of market cap with respect to how the sales figures are. If in the next year the price goes to 12-14 which would represent a 5 billion market cap, I will be selling some small number of trading shares. If it hits 18-20 which would be closer to a 10 billion market cap, I will lighten by half my position and wait for a better re-entry point. For the long term, I have nothing better to do with the money so I expect to hold for the next 5-10 years to see the true value of MNKD unlocked through more TS applications.
I believe that Afrezza in the most optimistic of projections and at peak sales is worth perhaps 8 billion so the other TS applications will be what drives the long term value of the company past the teen range for PPS (assuming no further dilution).
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Post by gwb on Jul 13, 2015 20:34:48 GMT -5
I like to think of it in terms of market cap with respect to how the sales figures are. If in the next year the price goes to 12-14 which would represent a 5 billion market cap, I will be selling some small number of trading shares. If it hits 18-20 which would be closer to a 10 billion market cap, I will lighten by half my position and wait for a better re-entry point. For the long term, I have nothing better to do with the money so I expect to hold for the next 5-10 years to see the true value of MNKD unlocked through more TS applications. I believe that Afrezza in the most optimistic of projections and at peak sales is worth perhaps 8 billion so the other TS applications will be what drives the long term value of the company past the teen range for PPS (assuming no further dilution). Patryn I appreciate all your contributions to the board , most people here have never worked on Wall Street ( Goldman ) and really understand the actual functioning of transactions , my self included . I believe the total number of shares outstanding ( with options ,warrants and convertible instruments ) is 500 million. 10B=$20 PPS . I am waiting till Dr. Mann sells like Ashiwi is . I would be happy with your numbers of $18 to $ 20 , but I think ( hope ) Dr. Mann will ask for a bit more . I believe Afrezza is not going to remain with MNDK , it's going to be sold and after all these years , I am in no hurry . How great would it be if we all got money or SNY shares for Afrezza and then receive shares for TS in a new company ( probably for taxes that would be the structure ) ! We would all still be here for the next 10 years discussing TS developments, like why or why not Viagra will work with TS.
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Post by ashiwi on Jul 13, 2015 20:46:53 GMT -5
GWB, just a FYI. Viagra will never work with Technophere. It lowers the blood pressure too fast. Al Mann told that to me personally. There are however plenty of other options.
We should be hearing the 1st indication pretty soon. Hopefully by the next quarterly conferenc
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