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Post by buyitonsale on Jul 29, 2016 0:16:48 GMT -5
Quote from latest Mike C presentation. This means that expected RLS milestone at the end of this year is at least 25M. This gives me some comfort... MNKD should be able to build momentum with their sales team within 8 months, no? I think they can do it... F shorts.
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Post by nadathing on Jul 29, 2016 6:45:08 GMT -5
Please don't start taunting shorts here. We saw enough of that at the YMB and it ruined the board. Thank you.
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Post by dictatorsaurus on Jul 29, 2016 7:41:48 GMT -5
New scripts went up by 16 this week from the previous week.
At this rate it's looking pretty grim.
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Post by therealisaching on Jul 29, 2016 7:56:15 GMT -5
New scripts went up by 16 this week from the previous week. At this rate it's looking pretty grim. It was always going to be slow on the uptick for new scripts. Samples come first. Encouraged by the 26% increase on refills.
Sales reps are perhaps picking the low hanging fruit of those who have dropped out during the 2016 transition. Especially with the new titration NDC.
Two weeks doesnt make a trend in any event. I'm not discouraged.
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Post by promann on Jul 29, 2016 7:57:22 GMT -5
According to Mike C. the script numbers will not start rising until next month so I think the script numbers being up this week is early and a nice surprise. I'm hopeful for a steady climb from here week over week. Before the end of this year it would be great if Mannkind turned profitable.
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Post by tomson1355 on Jul 29, 2016 8:11:47 GMT -5
Looking grim? Oh, please. Anything but. The rate of increase over the last two weeks is about 16% each week. That means scripts double every 5 weeks. Run that out for a few quarters and see where they are. I have no illusions that the trend will continue, but if it does, and it's a big if, Afrezza will be a blockbuster in no time. Grim? Bah! Way too early for that.
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Post by saxcmann on Jul 29, 2016 8:30:32 GMT -5
According to Mike C. the script numbers will not start rising until next month so I think the script numbers being up this week is early and a nice surprise. I'm hopeful for a steady climb from here week over week. Before the end of this year it would be great if Mannkind turned profitable. I think as soon as we hit 586 scripts is important. I hope we hit 1000 scripts by the end of the year. Those numbers are important psychological numbers for MannKind to hit for many reasons. Once we have samples to docs I'll expect faster growth. Look at mid to late October for numbers to exceed linear growth if they do.
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Post by saxcmann on Jul 29, 2016 8:36:54 GMT -5
Larger scripts will come with advertising. Without TV commercials don't expect numbers to exceed 2000-3000 imo. We'll need patients to ask for afrezza with docs.
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Post by peppy on Jul 29, 2016 8:38:28 GMT -5
Looking grim? Oh, please. Anything but. The rate of increase over the last two weeks is about 16% each week. That means scripts double every 5 weeks. Run that out for a few quarters and see where they are.I have no illusions that the trend will continue, but if it does, and it's a big if, Afrezza will be a blockbuster in no time. Grim? Bah! Way too early for that. Thank you for doing the work. Presently 115 scripts at 16% a week would double in 5 weeks, 330 scripts. week of sept 7. 330 weekly scripts is about $250,000 in sales? mnkd.proboards.com/attachment/download/1812
MNKD balance sheet showing revenue and revenue growth would be nice to see.
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Post by brotherm1 on Jul 29, 2016 9:02:46 GMT -5
Quote from latest Mike C presentation. This means that expected RLS milestone at the end of this year is at least 25M. This gives me some comfort... MNKD should be able to build momentum with their sales team within 8 months, no? I think they can do it... [ Would you please supply the link to that conference and time he said that if you have it? Perhaps I heard him wrong, but I thought he said we should have enough of cash to get TO the first quarter 2017 and not through it (meaning enough to get us through this December?)
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Post by peppy on Jul 29, 2016 9:07:49 GMT -5
Quote from latest Mike C presentation. This means that expected RLS milestone at the end of this year is at least 25M. This gives me some comfort... MNKD should be able to build momentum with their sales team within 8 months, no? I think they can do it... [ Would you please supply the link to that conference and time he said that if you have it? Perhaps I heard him wrong, but I thought he said we should have enough of cash to get TO the first quarter 2017 and not through it (meaning enough to get us through this December?) Allow me to help oh brothern1 investors.mannkindcorp.com/events.cfm?EventType=Webcast here is the link, the time is all of it. have fun big, provide me the information man.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 29, 2016 9:08:21 GMT -5
Good to see NRx and TRx with a nice increase. Up better than down. Too early to call victory or failure. Food for thought, the diabetes nurse educators, think Mike drank a few beers and threw darts at a map of the US to determine where they were to be located? Those DNEs (Diabetes Nurse Educators) are going to hang out at the key endo offices to soft sell, lend clinical expertise, train patients, handle prior auth etc. Sam's endo has over 35,000 patients in the practice and while not all are diabetic, many obviously are. Mannkind will go back to the key endos that supported the first launch to try to rebuild trust. If for the first few months, the sales team and DNEs only work the top 1,000 endo offices that alone could bear some nice fruit. The next 8 weeks are going to be one hell of a ride. We start seeing 22% W/W uptick in NRx and a positive trend in TRx demonstrating patients staying on Afrezza and SP should start to move. I hope if we use equity to raise more $$ we can do so at $3 - $4 share and Matt bites the bullet and sells another 30mm shares. If Castagnas plan works and we get another $60mm - $80mm in operating cash, its showtime.
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Post by obamayoumama on Jul 29, 2016 9:12:25 GMT -5
New scripts went up by 16 this week from the previous week. At this rate it's looking pretty grim. Are you forgetting that the supply of SNY Afrezza was down to the few boxes this week, and the problems people were having getting product? Next week's numbers will be the first week with MNKD Afrezza.
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Post by dictatorsaurus on Jul 29, 2016 9:19:21 GMT -5
New scripts went up by 16 this week from the previous week. At this rate it's looking pretty grim. Are you forgetting that the supply of SNY Afrezza was down to the few boxes this week, and the problems people were having getting product? Next week's numbers will be the first week with MNKD Afrezza. I'm not forgetting anything. After a while you tend to focus more on the outcome and pay little attention to the surrounding circumstances/delays. Excuses don't generate profit. Sales do. MNKD doesn't have much money and I actually think every single week matters. With that said, I think next Friday will be more telling.
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Post by brentie on Jul 29, 2016 9:19:23 GMT -5
[ Would you please supply the link to that conference and time he said that if you have it? Perhaps I heard him wrong, but I thought he said we should have enough of cash to get TO the first quarter 2017 and not through it (meaning enough to get us through this December?) Allow me to help oh brothern1 investors.mannkindcorp.com/events.cfm?EventType=Webcast here is the link, the time is all of it. have fun big, provide me the information man.
The time is the 21 minute mark.
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