|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Oct 3, 2017 12:48:22 GMT -5
Anyone got the cost to borrow shares? *asking* for a friend ... 86%............. |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Oct 2, 2017 9:49:40 GMT -5
I'm baffled that this is dropping like a rock today? Apparently the FDA decision was seen as bad news or a non-newsworthy item? SMH People used to say to me, all priced in. grrrr. The day isn't over. It would be nice to see buyers come in. The stock is the definition of over head resistance.
Peppy if they don't get it by now then I'm not sure why they're still on board so no need to get frustrated....for all those that listened to the call if you're disappointed then you can't be helped and shouldn't be invested in this stock at this point. Al himself couldn't of picked a better person to pass the baton to and lead his company and further his legacy IMO. This young PharmD is smart, sharp, and exudes confidence. Mike said this removes handcuffs or to paraphrase him "no more one hand tied behind their backs" referring to the reps as to what they can say regarding superiority by way of reduction of potential hypo's compared to current Raa's. As to the title of this thread, for someone short today the cost to borrow is still right at 90% with no shares available. So if there were any real selling that would not be the case and you can also see that there has been virtually little to no closing out of call positions. Those longs that know what they hold will most likely stay focused and ignore the smoke and mirror noise that continues with the same "alien" characters that continue to plague the board and SA and attempt to free up shares that couldn't be bought at .13/sh. and I am with you more than you know regarding hoping he was referring to UHC as the large payor on deck.  |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Oct 2, 2017 6:47:58 GMT -5
Breakaway and exhaustion gaps never have to be filled...I suspect this one never looks back one domino after another should now be set in motion...on a more serious note, I couldn't sleep last night, not because of this but living in Vegas really put things in perspective overnight. Crazy night, was out with the Mrs. right down the road from the concert, so so sad all the lives lost, many young ones, just devastating...bittersweet day for sure, one we will never forget. SMH |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 30, 2017 17:45:18 GMT -5
Since this is a purely speculation thread: To paraphrase: "I wouldn't trade this job for anything in the world...followed by it's been a long journey" -Mike C, that's a very powerful statement IMO. It could have a wide range of meaning/interpretation from a simple acknowledgement from the FDA based on their response to the label change to a series of domino's that have been put into place based on that result. I see that tweet as one huge exhale of relief and vindication but that's just my interpretation. As far as price, if there is a very positive press release pre-market I would expect a breakaway gap up and where that could be is anyone's guess but with a lack of shares available and potential notifications going out it should initially be well north of your highest figure &2.60) IMO, we could get to $10 yes $10 ($2 pre-split) in fairly short order (within weeks) depending on what follows regarding recapitalization or other announcements. Again, as long as we're in the speculation mode I'll sell you some Oct 31 $10 strike covered calls... how much are you offering All my calls are ITM, I bought quite a few ITM calls with very little premium which has me leveraged nicely...i bought them when I woke up and we we're sitting at @ $1.19 in early Aug. So when I swap out of them (most likely others by that time) into the 10's I'll give you a hollar  |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 30, 2017 17:33:34 GMT -5
I’m getting giddy just looking foreword to a giddy-up from Pete:-) Pete? Sports is looking forward to Pete Najarian on Ultra Fast Money when the time comes |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 30, 2017 17:27:58 GMT -5
Want to throw some cool mist over the red hot "label change" fire and highlight between what we need vs. what we want. We want the label change. We want Afrezza to become the blockbuster as it should, tomorrow! We want our "cusp of our Apple stock moment", yesterday. But right now, we need enough cash to carry us to cash flow positive. I believe some deal has already been structured, but the terms are not set. Say we want XXX amount of money which will carry a rate of YYY and convertible to common at ZZZ. When the deal was laid out, our stocks was much lower (aound $1?). Mike is working on improve our odds and needed time. So Sheerfield said: if you can do this by this time, we will give you more time. We did that and we got more time. The counterparty said something similar: ZZZ is going to be between $.80 (20% dilution of your current price) and $2.60. However, Mike, you have to show us you can do this (weekly >  ) and that (Label change, trial?). My speculation is that with all that happened in the last 4 weeks, I believe Mike now DOES have the options to re-cap based a feasible scenario with reasonable terms, EVEN IF OUR LABEL CHANGE does not come through exactly as we wanted or got delayed. I want say all these things we want, ALL OF THEM, can wait, Mike should be very proud of himself if we can recap a path to survival, and our longs should be happy knowing our rewards will come if we wait. The significance of the label change has already be reflected to a certain degree because of the sales increase and other positive events in the diabetes worlds. Since this is speculation, my numbers are XXX = $100M. YYY = 6%, and ZZZ = $1.84 IF the label change does NOT come tomorrow, we struck the deal before the stock drift lower, which started Friday. XXX = $100M. YYY = 6%, and ZZZ = $2.60 IF the label change DOES come tomorrow. XXX = $100M, YYY = 6%, and ZZZ = $1.20 IF the label change does not come in a week. What's your number? Again, these are purely my speculations with no grain of truth whatsoever. Since this is a purely speculation thread: To paraphrase: "I wouldn't trade this job for anything in the world...followed by it's been a long journey" -Mike C, that's a very powerful statement IMO. It could have a wide range of meaning/interpretation from a simple acknowledgement from the FDA based on their response to the label change to a series of domino's that have been put into place based on that result. I see that tweet as one huge exhale of relief and vindication but that's just my interpretation. As far as price, if there is a very positive press release pre-market I would expect a breakaway gap up and where that could be is anyone's guess but with a lack of shares available and potential notifications going out it should initially be well north of your highest figure &2.60) IMO, we could get to $10 yes $10 ($2 pre-split) in fairly short order (within weeks) depending on what follows regarding recapitalization or other announcements. Again, as long as we're in the speculation mode |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 30, 2017 16:55:51 GMT -5
Here is what will really blow your mind...Medtronic closing stock price all 7's 7777... Funny you brought that up, I noticed I was on my 777th post yesterday  |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 30, 2017 16:50:56 GMT -5
I am overly giddy because this is a major event for MNKD and there will be all buying with the news I have no doubt. I think there are many aspects of getting a ultra rapid designation including, better insurance coverage, better partnering agreements including other countries, better financial aid or assistance, better label to bring to the docs, better label to advertise, the list goes on. So this is huge and if MNKD gets this I’m looking to triple up and then expect more good news to continue to get 9share price growth. GLTA.. Agree!..speculating..invision..label..in premarket...followed by a Medtronic announcement of 30000+ patient use of Afrezza with the artificial pancreas's..followed by..Upfront payment...followed by better tier positioning...kind of like 1st stage, 2nd stage..orbit..3rd stage..Moon..4th stage Mars..Swing around a few Technospheres..accelerate..ultra-Rapidly..  Guess I be giddy too ....Bab's if there is selling on the news it won't last too long that's for sure, I personally don't know any longs that have endured this journey that would be selling anytime soon and based on supply of shares available, well you get the picture ^^^^ |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 29, 2017 13:19:54 GMT -5
Nice flag pole on 30min charts, pull up the 2 week 30 min. chart and tell me we shouldn't all be standing to the national anthem ....oh no he didn't, btw as cjc04 just posted, yes sir please serve me up over another 5k calls traded for next friday expiry....if added to open interest today then were new or additional contracts opened, if subtracted then closed out position from the other day. If the flag pole holds up then Peppy's projection up into the $2.45 area looks good. Based on the volume this am. looks like the leg up to that area should come on decent green volume, lets see how it plays out. |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 28, 2017 13:08:12 GMT -5
guess we're finding out what was in the box The top is going to come off That you tube he did talking about MM accumulation vs. the 95% of traders that follow the charts is a beautiful piece. Call contracts are being bought today with two fists, 2k NOV 17 contracts and many others along the calendar are going with strikes all the way up the ladder including the Jan '19 leaps |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 28, 2017 13:00:14 GMT -5
an 11 cent triangle has set up over the last two days, on the break and hold of $1.88, $1.99 targets. it is a low volume day for MNKD so far. 463,384 shares with volume just now coming in. www.nasdaq.com/symbol/mnkd/real-timeLots of geometry going on, triangles, boxes...this is partly in response to DBC's response to a previous post of mine but putting it here since we're talking about this support area, so what's in the box? MM = Market Maker, those that make markets, what's in the box? www.youtube.com/watch?v=VEYh7eNtVro focus on the stops strategy, the area we have been trading the last few days is directly correlated to the 5/10 high that was @1.88 that day had on HUGE volume, what they know is that a lot of stops are probably sitting in this range or slightly below. Baba referred recently to the blow out day before the ADCOM, (I vividly remember getting a ton of phone calls from panicked fellow longs that day) those that had stops were blown out of the stock and shares went into the hands that wanted to accumulate prior to the risk event. That's why that large call trade at the 2 strike with a little over a week to go was very eye opening yesterday and it was new open interest as shown today. DBC, I was not alluding to traders playing the volatility, the MM are also trading desks for the houses that the hedge funds go through. By their very nature MM are absolutely not investors rather there to maintain/make markets in the particular securities/bonds/currencies/commodities that they make markets in. They have to lay off risk just like anyone else. I highly doubt those calls were sold naked for a few pennies, they were most likely bought for other reasons. That was what I was alluding to guess we're finding out what was in the box |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 28, 2017 12:03:27 GMT -5
an 11 cent triangle has set up over the last two days, on the break and hold of $1.88, $1.99 targets. it is a low volume day for MNKD so far. 463,384 shares with volume just now coming in. www.nasdaq.com/symbol/mnkd/real-timeLots of geometry going on, triangles, boxes...this is partly in response to DBC's response to a previous post of mine but putting it here since we're talking about this support area, so what's in the box? MM = Market Maker, those that make markets, what's in the box? www.youtube.com/watch?v=VEYh7eNtVro focus on the stops strategy, the area we have been trading the last few days is directly correlated to the 5/10 high that was @1.88 that day had on HUGE volume, what they know is that a lot of stops are probably sitting in this range or slightly below. Baba referred recently to the blow out day before the ADCOM, (I vividly remember getting a ton of phone calls from panicked fellow longs that day) those that had stops were blown out of the stock and shares went into the hands that wanted to accumulate prior to the risk event. That's why that large call trade at the 2 strike with a little over a week to go was very eye opening yesterday and it was new open interest as shown today. DBC, I was not alluding to traders playing the volatility, the MM are also trading desks for the houses that the hedge funds go through. By their very nature MM are absolutely not investors rather there to maintain/make markets in the particular securities/bonds/currencies/commodities that they make markets in. They have to lay off risk just like anyone else. I highly doubt those calls were sold naked for a few pennies, they were most likely bought for other reasons. That was what I was alluding to |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 27, 2017 19:23:59 GMT -5
I show 5.56k calls for the 10/6 expiration opened today at the 2 strike....so big hedge? big bet? error on my screen? am I seeing things lol....for a fairly quiet day.. surely if it was not offset and part of the MM circle jerk because as those blank faces we all know and love have stated "there is no manipulation on this security" please take quoted portion with a good amount of sarcasm. The wheels on the bus continue to go round and round, again ask yourself why didn't they exit the bus at .13/sh? Even at 0.13/sh there was a market cap of 10s of millions of dollars. Why would professional shorts leave that much on the table if they believed at the time it was going even lower (even to zero)? (That's like asking, why didn't every long sell at $10 a share back in 2014?) You can argue that they got it wrong and shorts SHOULD have covered then, but investors of all sorts (long and short) make mistakes in timing with hindsight. There is a huge difference from a risk/reward standpoint especially from what is perceived as the "smart money" of not covering at .13/sh with after almost a maximum gain to zero compared to not covering at $10/sh after a binary event with an unknown potential gain that doesn't necessarily have a limit per se. My point is it is pretty obvious that it couldn't be covered without avoiding a severe price imbalance, I am of the opinion that the short position is not made up of a bunch of individual "professional shorts" that would have surely gotten out close to zero from a much higher entry point. This short position is a different animal altogether especially willing to pay exorbitant interest to carry the position through to some unknown outcome. It would be interesting to forensically see what spider(s) the short $$$ web leads to through discovery at some point down the road ....oh no he didn't |
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 27, 2017 16:52:33 GMT -5
This should help remind some on days like yesterday and today, I like how he puts it in layman's terms so for those that are tired of seeing it, it is the blog article Hudson wrote about days like today coexisting with a large short holding: seekingalpha.com/instablog/2918951-g-hudson/1026551-how-the-big-players-manipulate-the-stock-marketBottom line, for all the recent aliens that joined the board this isn't a yahoo msg. board and it won't be turned into one. If there were true long liquidation then those shares would either be available shares to borrow or sold to covering shares that have been lent out. If I am being told there are no shares to borrow than it appears most of what Hudson writes about how the shares are pitched back and forth to temporarily control s/p should be evident on low volume days like this. I show 5.56k calls for the 10/6 expiration opened today at the 2 strike....so big hedge? big bet? error on my screen? am I seeing things lol....for a fairly quiet day.. surely if it was not offset and part of the MM circle jerk because as those blank faces we all know and love have stated "there is no manipulation on this security" please take quoted portion with a good amount of sarcasm. The wheels on the bus continue to go round and round, again ask yourself why didn't they exit the bus at .13/sh? ![]() ![]()
|
|
|
|
Post by joeypotsandpans on Sept 27, 2017 9:28:58 GMT -5
This should help remind some on days like yesterday and today, I like how he puts it in layman's terms so for those that are tired of seeing it, it is the blog article Hudson wrote about days like today coexisting with a large short holding: seekingalpha.com/instablog/2918951-g-hudson/1026551-how-the-big-players-manipulate-the-stock-marketBottom line, for all the recent aliens that joined the board this isn't a yahoo msg. board and it won't be turned into one. If there were true long liquidation then those shares would either be available shares to borrow or sold to covering shares that have been lent out. If I am being told there are no shares to borrow than it appears most of what Hudson writes about how the shares are pitched back and forth to temporarily control s/p should be evident on low volume days like this. |
|
) and that (Label change, trial?).
